Stonecoil Serpent, X
Reach, trample, protection from multicolored
When Stonecoil Serpent enters the battlefield, put X +1/+1 counters on it.
It is protected against Dack, Teferi and Assassin Trophy.
Is it good enough for Shop ? I don't think so, but it is worse considering.
Mystical Dispute 2U
This spell costs 2 less to cast if it targets a blue spell.
Counter target spell unless its controller pays 3.
It is less powerful that Red Elemental Blast to fight blue, but it is not completely dead against the rest. It is also mono Blue. It dodges misstep even if it is less important now.
Can this see some play ? in BUG maybe ?
There is an article explaining the new mechanics:
Crop Rotation was unrestricted in June 2009 and New Phyrexia released in May 2011. But there is no deck with more than 1 crop rotation in the mtgtop8.com base during that period.
Obviously the metagame is completely different now, it is difficult to make prediction from this.
And a new preview saison is starting.
Scheming Symmetry B
Choose two target players. Each of them searches their library for a card, then shuffles their library and puts that card on top of it.
If you do nothing the opponent will draw his card first but this can be negated by shuffling or extra draw on our turn. Can this card see some play when Imperial seal see almost 0 play ?
@Khahan Unfortunately probability is rarely intuitive.
The mathematical proof:
We consider 3 type of card a, b, c and a deck with Na + Nb + Nc = 60 copies of each card.
The probably of having exactly A + B + C = 7 in a hand of 7 is given by
P(A, B, C; 60) = comb(Na, A) * comb(Nb, B) * comb(Nc, C) / comb(60, 7)
By introducing comb(60 - Na, 7 - A) in the middle we obtain
P(A, B, C; 60) = [comb(Na, A) * comb(60 - Na, 7 - A) / comb(60, 7)] * [comb(Nb, B) * comb(Nc, C) / comb(60 - Na, 7 - A)]
We recognize the probability for 2 type of card and use C = 7 - A - B to obtain
P(A, B, 7 - A - B; 60) = P(A, 7 - A; 60) * P(B, 7 - A - B, 60 - A)
Wikipedia for more detail.
The interpretation is: For each new type of card you have to remove the all the copy of the previous type of card.
This is not easy, I had to redo the proof to convince myself there was an error in the spreadsheet.
@ChubbyRain Nice work.
I think there is a error in "Chance of Green card out of the remaining six cards", your results correspond to a population of 59 = (60 - 1 * Force) but it should be done with population of 56 = (60 - 4 * Force).
Everything else seems good for me.
The number of set (with at least one new card) by year:
The number of new printing by year:
The year 2019 is ongoing so the number are incomplete.
There seem to have an increase in the number of new printing in the last few years.
@Shopsaholic It will be hard to hit four Karns with The Elderspell when there is only three versions of legendary Karn planewalkers.
The probme is that paying BB to destroy planewalkers when most of them cost 3 or 4 and have already use at least one of their abilities is a bit slow. And when they do not play planewalker, its a completely dead card.
The solution is to play Karn first.
My point is, it is better to play null rod than Harsh mentor, and Karn than Haunting Wind.
@desolutionist said in [WAR] Karn the great creator:
Well the premise here is that people are likely to have a turn 1 Karn, turn 2 time vault lock.
So you can only deploy 1 mana ?
Force of will, Mental misstep on key, Pithing needle, Nature claim, Lighting bolt.
And soon Force of Negation and Force of Vigor.