As part of the post-LSG restriction data dump, here is what we collected from Paper Tournaments (and MTGO Power 9s).
But for that a few tidbits...
See the Daily Events thread for classification details
We established a minimum # of players for an event to be recorded at 17 (the cutoff for a 5 round event producing a top and only included the top 8 (not the top 16 of larger events).
Tentatively, we included the results from the MTGO P9 series in these breakdowns. The idea behind this is that the tournament structure is virtually equivalent to paper events and the MTGO results affect Paper metagames (and vice versa). Client specific limitations are rather overstated...in 3 months of paper data, there were 4 "Bomberman" lists (3 Salvagers Oath and 1 AJ Grasso BomberMentor) and zero Dragon decks. Online players have also had a great deal of success in Paper tournaments when given the chance to play - the NYSE featured two MTGO regulars in @Montolio and @i_b_TRUE. In addition, WotC clearly considers these Power 9 events in their B&R decisions and I think so should we in attempting to paint a complete picture of the Vintage metagame. However, I am curious what others here think - please chime in below on whether or not you believe MTGO P9 Events should be included in these types of global tournament reports.
There are two options for weighting individual tournaments based on tournament size. The first is linearly (# of players/some constant (we used @CHA1N5's per 16 players)) which basically is a measure of the "difficulty of top 8'ing" - The chance of top 8'ing a 16 person event is 0.5; the chance of top 8'ing a 32 person event is 0.25; compared to one another, it is 2X more difficult to top 8 the 32 person event and a linear system reflects this by weighting the 32 person event at twice that of the 16 person event. The second method we considered was a logarithmic scale. Rounds roughly follow a log2 progression with 16 players being 4 rounds, 32 players 5 rounds. This would be a weighting system based on expected number of wins to top 8. The linear scale produces a much more dramatic difference between large events and small events and this is what we opted for - please let us know your thoughts on the matter.
The Delta Weighted column is the difference in the % of top 8's between the weighted and unweighted groups. A positive Delta Weighted means that an archetype or deck was more thoroughly represented in larger events and a negative Delta Weighted means the opposite.
We really need a more consistent method of tracking down tournament results...I used MTGTop8, TCDecks, TMD, Facebook, and Twitter to try and find Vintage results. If there is another reference I'm unaware of, please chime in as we really do strive to have as complete a dataset as possible.
Without further ado:
As always, thanks to Ryan Eberhart @diophan for his invaluable contributions.
Tournaments within Range:
Madness Comics http://www.tcdecks.net/deck.php?id=20092
Top Deck Games https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1203486913030068&id=205335206178582
Knight Ware http://themanadrain.com/topic/208/04-17-2016-results-knight-ware-unsanctioned-vintage
A Store of Fire and Dice No link (had friends in attendance and was streamed on Twitch)
Bazaar of Moxen http://mtgtop8.com/event?e=12315&f=VI
GP Tokyo http://www.mtgtop8.com/event?e=12436&f=VI
MKM Frankfurt http://series.magiccardmarket.eu/coverage-mkm-series-frankfurt-2016-vintage/#metagame-breakdown
Deal Me In http://www.themanadrain.com/topic/293/deal-me-in-games-power-nine-series-results-24-players-5-14-2016
Vacaville May Vintage http://www.themanadrain.com/topic/292/vacaville-may-vintage-19-players-results
Eternal Masters #7 http://www.themanadrain.com/topic/374/eternal-masters-7-results
Eternal Extravaganza 4 http://www.themanadrain.com/topic/386/eternal-extravaganza-4-complete-metagame-report