Navigation

    The Mana Drain

    • Register
    • Login
    • Search
    • Strategy
    • Community
    • Tournaments
    • Recent

    Play/draw win rates

    Vintage Community
    2
    2
    109
    Loading More Posts
    • Oldest to Newest
    • Newest to Oldest
    • Most Votes
    Reply
    • Reply as topic
    Log in to reply
    This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
    • D
      dshin last edited by dshin

      Are there any empirical stats on how often the player on the play wins Game 1 in Vintage?

      I'm aware of a couple empirical analyses for Standard:

      • 400 MTGO Standard games from 2013, win-rate of 56.3% [link]
      • ~3.1M Arena Standard/Limited/Brawl games from 2020, win rate of 56.5% among the Standard games [link]

      I'm wondering if anyone has undertaken this sort of effort for Vintage.

      B 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
      • B
        Botvinik @dshin last edited by

        @dshin
        One way to do this (assuming no one already has) would be to make a bot to record play draw and winners and throw it as some of the streamers YouTube vids. This would yield a fairly large data set relative to the rather small vintage community although it would have a number of unfortunate confounding factors.

        1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
        • First post
          Last post