@vaughnbros I mean, I don't want to be disrespectful to you personally, but having read back through the thread, I have to say I disagree with a lot of what you're saying in here, if it can be synthesized into a single thrust. What is the logical argument that you were going for? Something like the metagame is unhealthy?
Ok... fine. So what statistics actually is, the essence of it so far as I'm concerned, and the definition that I'm operating on, is that statistics is the effort to make information out of data... to collect the data well, and to then make and honest and accurate effort understand what the data means. Are there a lot more details, and ins and outs? No doubt. But that is the gist of it. (Keep in mind that I don't have an advanced degree in statistics, so I might not be authorized to possess this definition, nonetheless, that is in fact the essence of statistics.)
So I hope we agree that the very colorful top of the thread constitutes "statistics"... again, no expert here. (Recently in this thread someone indicated that no "statistical tests" have been conducted... be that as it may...)
So, do those stats up there indicate that the metagame is healthy or unhealthy? Ah HA! Trick question. No Stats 101 prof is gonna sucker me in on that one. That's the small sample size question they warned me about in the study session! Drawing conclusions about a metagame from a single tournament would be a really bad conclusion in statistical terms, an amateur one that no expert in statistics would ever be guilty of.
Or drawing outrageous conclusions like saying that only three decks are viable in the format based on the outcome of a single tourney. That would be weird, right? Drawing conclusions like that would be bad statisitical work, right? I mean, the last major tourney was won, outright, by a deck that was .6% of this field. I mean, I didn't do a T test to come up with that or anything, so I could be wrong, but that just seems like an unsupportable statement. Only three decks that are even viable in the whole format... that sure would be terrible, if it were reality.
Outrageous, hyperbolic sentences beget more of the same man. Let's just pump the breaks on the wild gesticulating and black and white statements. I really don't want to talk about restrictions, or metagame health... because I'm just pretty tired of it, since it's pretty much a lot of popping off, and people who've decided what their conclusion is based on their own personal experience in games, before they ever even start to dabble in data... but I'll do it. If that's what we're really doing.
That's not what we're doing.